CHAPTER-8
SHORT-RUN EQUILIBRIUM
OUTPUT INVESTMENT MULTIPLIER
WHAT IS SHORT RUN
In economics, the short run refers to a period of time in
which the level of production and output in an economy can be adjusted, but
some factors of production are fixed or less flexible. In the short run, firms
can change the quantity of labor and raw materials they use, but they cannot
easily change the size of their factories or adopt new technologies.
The concept of the short run is important because it allows
economists to analyze how an economy adjusts to changes in demand and supply in
the relatively immediate future. It helps explain how prices, employment
levels, and output are influenced by shifts in demand or changes in production
costs.
In the short run, an economy can experience periods of
equilibrium, where the aggregate demand for goods and services equals the
aggregate supply. This equilibrium level of output is determined by factors
such as consumer spending, business investment, government expenditure, and net
exports.
Understanding the short run is crucial for policymakers and
economists as it helps them analyze the impact of various economic policies and
shocks on output, employment, and inflation. Additionally, it provides insights
into the behavior of different economic variables and their adjustment
mechanisms before the economy reaches a long-run equilibrium.
EQUILIBRIUM LEVEL OF INCOME OR OF
OUTPUT
The equilibrium level of income or output refers to the level
at which aggregate demand (AD) equals aggregate supply (AS) in an economy. It
represents a state of balance where the total spending in the economy matches
the total production of goods and services.
In the short run, the equilibrium level of income/output is
determined by the intersection of the aggregate demand curve and the aggregate
supply curve. Aggregate demand is the total spending on goods and services in
an economy, consisting of consumption, investment, government expenditure, and
net exports. Aggregate supply, on the other hand, represents the total quantity
of goods and services that firms are willing to produce and supply at different
price levels.
When aggregate demand exceeds aggregate supply, there is an
excess demand for goods and services, leading to firms increasing production to
meet the higher demand. This results in an expansion of output and income until
the equilibrium level is reached.
Conversely, if aggregate demand is lower than aggregate
supply, there is an excess supply of goods and services, causing firms to
reduce production. This leads to a contraction of output and income until the
equilibrium level is attained.
The equilibrium level of income/output is significant as it
represents a state of economic stability, where there are no inherent pressures
for further changes in output or income. However, it's important to note that
the equilibrium level can change over time due to shifts in aggregate demand or
supply, changes in government policies, or other factors affecting the economy.
EQUILIBRIUM LEVEL OF INCOME/OUTPUT IN
KEYNESIAN FRAMEWORK
In the Keynesian framework, the equilibrium level of
income/output is determined by the interaction between aggregate demand (AD)
and aggregate supply (AS). According to Keynesian economics, changes in
aggregate demand play a crucial role in determining the level of economic
activity.
Keynes argued that in the short run, an economy can
experience situations of underemployment equilibrium, where the level of
aggregate demand is insufficient to utilize all available resources and achieve
full employment. In this context, the equilibrium level of income/output is
determined by the level of aggregate demand that is sufficient to maintain full
employment.
Keynes identified four components of aggregate demand:
consumption (C), investment (I), government expenditure (G), and net exports
(NX). The equilibrium level of income/output occurs when the total spending
from these components equals the total output produced in the economy.
Mathematically, the equilibrium level of income/output in the
Keynesian framework can be represented as:
Y = C + I + G + NX
Where:
Y represents the level of income/output,
C represents consumption,
I represents investment,
G represents government expenditure, and
NX represents net exports.
The equilibrium level of income/output occurs when aggregate
demand (C + I + G + NX) equals aggregate supply (AS). At this equilibrium, the
economy is in a state of balance, with no tendency for further changes in
income/output.
Keynesian economics emphasizes the role of government
policies, particularly fiscal policy, in influencing aggregate demand and
achieving full employment. By adjusting government expenditure and implementing
measures to stimulate consumption and investment, policymakers can aim to
achieve and maintain the equilibrium level of income/output consistent with
full employment in the short run
WAGE PRICE RIGIDITY
Wage price rigidity, also known as nominal wage or price
stickiness, refers to the phenomenon where wages and prices do not adjust
quickly or fully in response to changes in economic conditions, such as changes
in demand and supply. This means that wages and prices tend to be relatively
inflexible in the short run.
Wage price rigidity can arise due to a variety of factors and
market imperfections. Some common reasons for wage price rigidity include:
Labor
market institutions: Labor unions and collective
bargaining agreements can contribute to wage rigidity by setting predetermined
wage rates or wage increase schedules. These agreements may not allow for
immediate adjustments in wages based on changes in economic conditions.
Menu
costs: Firms may incur costs when adjusting prices, such as
the costs of reprinting menus, changing price tags, or updating software
systems. These costs can discourage frequent price adjustments, leading to
price stickiness.
Implicit
contracts: In some industries or job markets, implicit contracts
between employers and employees may include wage agreements that are fixed over
a certain period, regardless of changes in market conditions.
Customer
behavior: Customers may have expectations about price stability,
and firms may be reluctant to change prices frequently to avoid confusing or
alienating their customers.
Wage price rigidity can have important implications for the
economy. When there is a negative shock, such as a decrease in aggregate
demand, wage and price rigidity can lead to unemployment or reduced output in
the short run. This is because firms may be unable or unwilling to lower wages
and prices quickly enough to restore equilibrium.
Wage price rigidity is a key concept in macroeconomics,
particularly in Keynesian economics, as it helps explain why economies can
experience periods of unemployment or output gaps even when there is a lack of
aggregate demand. It also underscores the importance of fiscal and monetary
policies in mitigating the effects of wage price rigidity and promoting
economic stability and growth.
AD FUNCTION IN KEYNESIAN FRAMEWORK
In the Keynesian framework, the aggregate demand (AD)
function represents the relationship between the level of aggregate demand and
the different components of spending in an economy. Aggregate demand refers to
the total spending on goods and services in an economy over a given period.
The Keynesian AD function is typically represented as
follows:
AD = C + I + G + (X - M)
Where:
AD represents aggregate demand,
C represents consumption,
I represents investment,
G represents government expenditure,
X represents exports, and
M represents imports.
Let's briefly explain each component:
Consumption
(C): This represents the spending by households on goods
and services. According to Keynes, consumption is influenced by income, and
there is a positive relationship between consumption and income. As income
increases, consumption expenditure also increases, but at a diminishing rate.
Investment
(I): Investment refers to the spending by businesses on
capital goods, such as machinery, equipment, and infrastructure. Investment
expenditure is influenced by factors such as interest rates, business
confidence, and expected returns on investment.
Government
Expenditure (G): This component represents the
spending by the government on public goods and services, such as defense,
education, healthcare, and infrastructure. Government expenditure is determined
by fiscal policy decisions and can be used to stimulate or dampen aggregate
demand.
Net
Exports (X - M): Net exports represent the
difference between exports (X) and imports (M). Positive net exports indicate a
trade surplus, where exports exceed imports, contributing to aggregate demand.
Negative net exports indicate a trade deficit, where imports exceed exports,
reducing aggregate demand.
The aggregate demand function shows how changes in
consumption, investment, government expenditure, and net exports affect the
overall level of spending in the economy. In the Keynesian framework,
fluctuations in aggregate demand play a crucial role in determining output,
employment, and income levels in the short run. Policymakers often focus on
influencing aggregate demand through fiscal and monetary policies to manage
economic stability and promote growth.
DETERMINATION OF INCOME AND EMPLOYMENT
EQUILIBRIUM LEVEL
In the Keynesian framework, the determination of income and
employment equilibrium level is closely linked to the concept of aggregate
demand (AD) and aggregate supply (AS). The equilibrium level occurs when the
level of aggregate demand matches the level of aggregate supply in the economy,
resulting in stable output and employment.
Here are the key factors involved in the determination
of income and employment equilibrium level:
Aggregate
Demand (AD): Aggregate demand represents the total spending on
goods and services in the economy. It comprises consumption (C), investment
(I), government expenditure (G), and net exports (X - M). The level of
aggregate demand influences the level of output and employment. If aggregate
demand is higher than aggregate supply, it leads to an increase in output and
employment. Conversely, if aggregate demand is lower than aggregate supply, it
can lead to a decrease in output and employment.
Aggregate
Supply (AS): Aggregate supply represents the total quantity of
goods and services that firms are willing to produce and supply at different
price levels. In the short run, aggregate supply may be relatively fixed or
less responsive to changes in demand. The aggregate supply curve shows the
relationship between the price level and the level of output that firms are
willing to produce.
Equilibrium
Level: The equilibrium level of income and employment occurs
when aggregate demand equals aggregate supply. At this point, the economy is in
a state of balance, with no inherent pressure for further changes in output and
employment. The equilibrium level represents a stable point where the economy
is operating at its potential level of output and employment.
Multiplier
Effect: The multiplier effect is an important concept in the
determination of income and employment equilibrium. It refers to the
magnification of changes in spending on output and employment. When there is an
increase in aggregate demand, such as through government expenditure or
investment, it leads to an initial increase in output and income. This increase
in income then stimulates further consumption, leading to additional rounds of
spending and subsequent increases in output and employment. The multiplier
effect amplifies the initial change in aggregate demand.
Overall, the determination of income and employment
equilibrium level in the Keynesian framework involves the interaction of
aggregate demand and aggregate supply. Policymakers often use fiscal and
monetary policies to influence aggregate demand in order to achieve and
maintain the desired level of output and employment equilibrium.
EQUILIBRIUM LEVEL AT VARIOUS STAGES
The equilibrium level of income or output can vary at
different stages of economic analysis. Let's explore the equilibrium levels at
various stages:
Macroeconomic
Equilibrium: At the macroeconomic level, the equilibrium level of
income or output is determined by the interaction of aggregate demand (AD) and
aggregate supply (AS). Macroeconomic equilibrium occurs when AD equals AS,
indicating a state of balance in the economy. This equilibrium level represents
the point where there is no tendency for further changes in income or output.
It is often referred to as the full-employment level of output or potential
GDP.
Short-Run
Equilibrium: In the short run, the equilibrium level of income or
output can deviate from the full-employment level due to various factors such
as wage price rigidity and incomplete adjustment of prices and wages. Short-run
equilibrium occurs when the aggregate demand intersects the short-run aggregate
supply curve. If aggregate demand exceeds short-run aggregate supply, there is
an output gap, indicating that the economy is operating below its potential
level. Conversely, if aggregate demand is below short-run aggregate supply,
there is an inflationary gap, indicating the economy is operating above its
potential level.
Long-Run
Equilibrium: In the long run, the equilibrium level of income or
output tends to converge towards the full-employment level. Over time, wages
and prices become more flexible, and the economy adjusts to eliminate output
gaps. In the long run, the long-run aggregate supply curve is vertical,
indicating that the economy produces at its potential level of output. Long-run
equilibrium occurs when the aggregate demand intersects the long-run aggregate
supply curve at the full-employment level.
It's important to note that the equilibrium level of income
or output can shift over time due to changes in factors such as technology,
population, government policies, and international trade. Shifts in aggregate
demand or supply can also lead to changes in the equilibrium level at various
stages.
Understanding and analyzing these different stages of
equilibrium helps policymakers and economists assess the state of the economy
and formulate appropriate policy responses to achieve and maintain desired
levels of output, employment, and price stability.
EFFECTS OF INJECTIONS AND WITHDRAWALS
Injections and withdrawals, also known as injections and
leakages or injections and withdrawals, are terms used in the context of
macroeconomics to describe the effects of injections (inflows) and withdrawals
(outflows) of funds from the economy. These injections and withdrawals affect
the level of aggregate demand and can have important consequences for the
economy.
Injections: Injections
refer to the addition of funds into the circular flow of income and
expenditure, increasing the level of aggregate demand. There are three main
types of injections:
a.
Investment (I): Investment represents spending by
businesses on capital goods, such as machinery, equipment, and infrastructure.
Increased investment injections lead to higher levels of aggregate demand as
businesses purchase new capital goods, stimulating economic activity and
potentially increasing employment and output.
b.
Government Expenditure (G): Government expenditure refers to
spending by the government on goods, services, and public investment. When the
government increases its expenditure, it injects funds into the economy,
boosting aggregate demand and potentially stimulating economic growth.
c.
Exports (X): Exports represent the goods and services produced
domestically and sold to other countries. An increase in exports injects funds
into the economy, contributing to aggregate demand. It can lead to higher output,
employment, and income.
Withdrawals: Withdrawals,
also known as leakages, represent the outflow of funds from the circular flow
of income and expenditure, reducing the level of aggregate demand. There are three
main types of withdrawals:
a.
Savings (S): Savings refer to the portion of income that is not
spent on consumption. When individuals or households save, it represents a
withdrawal of funds from the economy. Savings reduce the level of aggregate
demand, as the funds are not being spent on goods and services.
b.
Taxes (T): Taxes represent the portion of income collected by the
government. When taxes are imposed, it represents a withdrawal of funds from
the economy. Taxes reduce the disposable income available for consumption and
savings, leading to a decrease in aggregate demand.
c.
Imports (M): Imports represent the goods and services purchased from other
countries. When a country imports, it represents a withdrawal of funds from the
domestic economy. Imports reduce the level of aggregate demand, as the funds
are being spent on foreign goods and services.
The effects of injections and withdrawals on the economy
depend on their relative magnitudes. If injections exceed withdrawals,
aggregate demand increases, potentially leading to economic expansion, higher
output, and increased employment. Conversely, if withdrawals exceed injections,
aggregate demand decreases, which can result in economic contraction, lower output,
and reduced employment.
Understanding the effects of injections and withdrawals helps
policymakers analyze the drivers of economic activity and formulate appropriate
fiscal and monetary policies to manage aggregate demand and promote economic
stability and growth.
INVESTMENT MULTIPLIER
The investment multiplier is a concept in macroeconomics that
explains how an initial change in investment spending can have a multiplied
effect on the overall level of income or output in an economy. It demonstrates
the relationship between changes in investment and the resulting changes in
aggregate demand, output, and employment.
The investment multiplier works through the process of
induced spending. When there is an increase in investment spending, it leads to
an initial increase in aggregate demand. This increase in demand stimulates
additional rounds of spending as the income generated by the initial investment
flows through the economy. This subsequent increase in spending, in turn, leads
to further increases in income, creating a multiplier effect.
The formula for the investment multiplier is:
Multiplier = 1 / (1 - Marginal Propensity to Consume)
The Marginal Propensity to Consume (MPC) represents the proportion
of additional income that households choose to spend rather than save. The MPC
is typically less than 1, as households tend to save a portion of their
additional income. Therefore, the multiplier is greater than 1.
For example, let's assume the MPC is 0.8. In this
case, the investment multiplier would be:
Multiplier = 1 / (1 - 0.8) = 1 / 0.2 = 5
This means that a $1 increase in investment spending would
lead to a $5 increase in the overall level of income or output in the economy.
The multiplier effect magnifies the initial impact of investment, as each round
of spending creates additional income and further stimulates consumption and
demand.
Conversely, if there is a decrease in investment spending,
the multiplier effect works in the opposite direction. A decrease in investment
would lead to a decrease in income, and the multiplier effect would amplify the
initial decline.
The investment multiplier highlights the importance of
investment as a driver of economic activity and emphasizes the potential for
investment to have a broader impact on the overall economy through its
multiplier effect. It also underscores the role of fiscal and monetary policies
in influencing investment and managing aggregate demand to achieve desired
levels of economic growth and stability.
DEFINTIONRELATION BETWEEN MULTIPLIER
AND MARGINAL PROPENSITY TO CONSUME
The multiplier and the marginal propensity to consume (MPC)
are closely related concepts in macroeconomics.
The multiplier represents the ratio of the change in income
or output to the initial change in spending. It shows how much the overall
level of income or output in an economy changes in response to a change in
autonomous spending, such as investment or government expenditure.
The marginal propensity to consume (MPC) represents the
proportion of additional income that households choose to spend rather than
save. It indicates how much of an increase in income is devoted to consumption.
The relationship between the multiplier and the marginal
propensity to consume is inverse and interconnected. The multiplier is derived
from the MPC.
The formula for the multiplier is:
Multiplier = 1 / (1 - MPC)
From this formula, we can see that the multiplier is
determined by the reciprocal of (1 - MPC).
The higher the MPC, the higher the value of (1 - MPC), and
thus the larger the value of the multiplier. This is because a higher MPC means
that a larger proportion of additional income is spent, leading to a larger
multiplier effect.
Conversely, a lower MPC results in a smaller value of (1 -
MPC) and a smaller multiplier. This is because a lower MPC means that a smaller
proportion of additional income is spent, resulting in a smaller multiplier
effect.
Therefore, there is an inverse relationship between the
multiplier and the MPC. As the MPC increases, the multiplier increases, and as
the MPC decreases, the multiplier decreases.
Understanding the relationship between the multiplier and the
marginal propensity to consume is essential for analyzing the effects of
changes in autonomous spending on income, output, and employment in an economy.
It highlights the importance of consumption as a key driver of the multiplier
effect and the overall impact of changes in spending on the economy.
WORKING OF THE MULTIPLIER
The multiplier effect refers to the phenomenon where an
initial change in spending leads to a more significant and amplified impact on
the overall level of income or output in an economy. It works through the
process of induced spending and is based on the concept of marginal propensity
to consume (MPC).
Here's how the multiplier effect works:
Initial
Increase in Spending: Let's assume there is an initial
increase in autonomous spending, such as investment or government expenditure.
This additional spending injects funds into the economy, creating a positive
shock to aggregate demand.
Increase
in Income: The initial increase in spending leads to an increase
in the income of individuals or businesses in the economy. This increase in
income is a result of the direct impact of the initial spending.
Marginal
Propensity to Consume (MPC): The MPC
represents the proportion of additional income that households choose to spend
rather than save. It indicates how much of an increase in income is devoted to
consumption. For example, if the MPC is 0.8, it means that 80% of additional income
is spent on consumption.
Induced
Consumption: With the increase in income, households have more
disposable income available. According to their MPC, they choose to spend a
portion of this additional income on consumption. This induced consumption
leads to a further increase in aggregate demand.
Further
Increase in Income: The induced consumption, in turn,
leads to an increase in the income of businesses and individuals who receive
the spending. This increase in income further stimulates consumption and creates
a positive feedback loop.
Iterative
Process: The process of induced spending and subsequent
increase in income continues in multiple rounds. Each round of spending and
income generation leads to further increases in consumption, creating a
multiplier effect.
Final
Impact on Income and Output: The
multiplier effect continues until the cumulative increase in income is
exhausted through saving or imports. At this point, the multiplier process
reaches its limit, and the final increase in income and output stabilizes.
The value of the multiplier depends on the MPC. The
formula for the multiplier is:
Multiplier = 1 / (1 - MPC)
For example, if the MPC is 0.8, the multiplier would be 1 /
(1 - 0.8) = 5. This means that an initial increase in spending would result in
a fivefold increase in income or output.
The multiplier effect highlights the interdependence and
amplification of spending in an economy. It emphasizes the importance of
understanding how changes in autonomous spending can have broader impacts on
the overall level of income, output, and employment.
DIAGRAMMATIC PRESENTATION OF MULTIPLIER
PROCESS OR FORWARD AND BACKWARD WORKING OF MULTIPLIER
To illustrate the forward and backward working of the
multiplier process, we can use a diagrammatic representation known as the
Keynesian cross diagram. This diagram shows the equilibrium level of income or
output and the multiplier effect.
Keynesian Cross Diagram:
The horizontal axis represents the level of income or output
(Y), while the vertical axis represents aggregate expenditure (AE). The AE
curve represents the relationship between income/output and aggregate
expenditure.
Equilibrium Level of Income:
In the Keynesian cross diagram, the equilibrium level of
income or output is shown where the AE curve intersects the 45-degree line,
which represents the identity of income/output. This intersection represents
the point where aggregate expenditure equals income/output, indicating a state
of balance.
Initial Increase in Spending:
Assume there is an initial increase in autonomous spending,
such as investment or government expenditure. This increase in spending shifts
the AE curve upward.
Forward Working of Multiplier:
The upward shift in the AE curve leads to an increase in
equilibrium income or output. The initial increase in spending creates a
positive feedback loop. As income/output increases, consumption increases based
on the marginal propensity to consume (MPC), leading to further increases in
aggregate expenditure. This process continues in multiple rounds, with each
round of increased spending and income generation further stimulating consumption
and aggregate expenditure.
Backward Working of Multiplier:
Conversely, if there is a decrease in autonomous spending,
the AE curve shifts downward. This leads to a decrease in equilibrium income or
output. The decrease in spending creates a negative feedback loop. As
income/output decreases, consumption decreases based on the MPC, resulting in
further decreases in aggregate expenditure. This process continues in multiple
rounds, with each round of decreased spending and income generation further
dampening consumption and aggregate expenditure.
The multiplier effect, as demonstrated by the Keynesian cross
diagram, shows how changes in autonomous spending can have multiplied effects
on the overall level of income or output. The forward working of the multiplier
leads to an amplification of the initial increase in spending, while the
backward working of the multiplier leads to a magnification of the initial
decrease in spending.
It's important to note that the size of the multiplier effect
depends on the MPC. A higher MPC leads to a larger multiplier, indicating a
greater impact on income or output from changes in spending.
CHARCTERISTICS OF MULTIPLIER
The multiplier effect, a key concept in macroeconomics,
possesses several important characteristics that help shape its impact on the
economy. Here are the key characteristics of the multiplier:
Magnification: The
multiplier magnifies the impact of changes in autonomous spending on the
overall level of income or output in the economy. A small initial change in
spending can lead to a larger change in income or output through successive
rounds of induced spending.
Positive
Feedback Loop: The multiplier effect creates a positive feedback
loop. An initial increase in spending leads to an increase in income, which, in
turn, stimulates further consumption and spending, leading to additional
increases in income. This process continues until the cumulative increase in
income is exhausted.
Marginal
Propensity to Consume (MPC): The size of
the multiplier is determined by the MPC, which represents the proportion of
additional income that households choose to spend rather than save. A higher
MPC leads to a larger multiplier, indicating a greater impact on income or output
from changes in spending.
Iterative
Process: The multiplier effect operates through an iterative
process of induced spending and income generation. Each round of increased
spending leads to a subsequent round of increased income, which further
stimulates consumption and spending. This iterative process continues until the
cumulative effect is completed.
Time
Frame: The multiplier effect is often discussed in the
context of the short run. It assumes that the economy is operating below full
capacity, with unused resources and unemployed labor. In the long run, factors
such as price adjustments and changes in expectations can moderate the impact
of the multiplier.
Leakages
and Injections: The multiplier effect is influenced
by leakages and injections in the economy. Leakages, such as saving, taxes, and
imports, reduce the size of the multiplier by withdrawing funds from the
circular flow of income. Injections, such as investment, government spending,
and exports, increase the size of the multiplier by injecting funds into the
economy.
Economic
Multiplier and Employment Multiplier: The
multiplier can be viewed from two perspectives: the economic multiplier and the
employment multiplier. The economic multiplier relates to the impact on total
output or income, while the employment multiplier focuses on the impact on
employment levels.
Understanding the characteristics of the multiplier helps
economists and policymakers analyze the effects of changes in autonomous
spending and formulate appropriate fiscal and monetary policies to manage
aggregate demand and stimulate economic growth.
IMPORTANCE OF MULTIPLIER
The multiplier effect is of great importance in
macroeconomics and has significant implications for understanding and managing
the dynamics of an economy. Here are the key reasons why the multiplier is
important:
Amplifies
Changes in Spending: The multiplier effect magnifies the
impact of changes in autonomous spending on the overall level of income or
output in an economy. A small initial change in spending can lead to a larger
change in income or output through the multiplier process. This demonstrates
the power of aggregate demand in driving economic activity.
Economic
Stimulus: The multiplier effect highlights the potential of
fiscal and monetary policies to stimulate economic growth. By increasing
government spending or implementing tax cuts, policymakers can inject
additional funds into the economy, which, through the multiplier effect, can generate
increased income, consumption, investment, and overall economic activity.
Policy
Design and Evaluation: The understanding of the multiplier
effect is crucial for designing and evaluating economic policies. Policymakers
can estimate the size of the multiplier based on the marginal propensity to
consume (MPC) and use this information to assess the potential impact of policy
measures on income, output, and employment. It helps in determining the
effectiveness of various policy tools and their potential to achieve desired
economic objectives.
Employment
Implications: The multiplier effect is closely linked to changes in
employment levels. As income and output increase through the multiplier
process, businesses may experience higher demand for goods and services,
leading to increased production and potentially creating employment
opportunities. The multiplier helps in understanding the potential employment
implications of changes in spending and the impact of employment on economic
growth and stability.
Business
Investment: Businesses also consider the multiplier effect when
making investment decisions. They anticipate that increased aggregate demand
resulting from their investment will have a multiplier effect on income and
output, creating a favorable business environment for further expansion and
profitability.
Economic
Stability: The multiplier effect plays a role in economic
stability. During periods of economic downturn, the multiplier effect can help
counteract negative shocks by boosting aggregate demand and providing a
stimulus to the economy. Understanding the multiplier effect assists
policymakers in implementing counter-cyclical measures to mitigate economic
recessions and stabilize the economy.
Consumer
and Investor Confidence: The multiplier effect influences
consumer and investor confidence. When consumers and investors perceive that
changes in spending will have a multiplied impact on income and output, it can
influence their decisions regarding consumption, saving, and investment.
Positive expectations regarding the multiplier effect can contribute to
increased spending and economic activity.
Overall, the multiplier effect provides valuable insights
into the relationship between changes in spending, income, and output. It
highlights the potential for policy interventions, business decisions, and
consumer behavior to have amplified effects on the economy. Understanding the
multiplier is crucial for policymakers, economists, and businesses to make
informed decisions and promote sustainable economic growth.
ASSUMPTIONS OF MULTIPLIER
The multiplier effect is based on several key assumptions
that help in understanding its implications and applications. The key
assumptions of the multiplier effect are as follows:
Fixed
Marginal Propensity to Consume (MPC): The
multiplier effect assumes a fixed marginal propensity to consume (MPC) in the
short run. The MPC represents the proportion of additional income that
households choose to spend rather than save. The assumption is that the MPC
remains constant regardless of changes in income or output.
Underutilized
Resources: The multiplier effect assumes that the economy is
operating below its full capacity, with underutilized resources such as
unemployed labor and idle production capacity. This assumption allows for the
expansion of output in response to increased aggregate demand without causing
inflationary pressures.
Closed
Economy: The multiplier effect assumes a closed economy,
meaning that there are no external trade relationships considered. In a closed
economy, changes in spending and income circulate within the domestic economy
without leakage or injection through imports or exports.
Constant Price Level: The multiplier effect assumes a
constant price level in the short run. It assumes that changes in spending and
income do not lead to changes in prices or inflation. This assumption allows
the focus to be on the real effects of changes in income and output rather than
price adjustments.
Homogeneous
Marginal Propensity to Consume (MPC): The
multiplier effect assumes a homogeneous MPC across all income levels. It
implies that all individuals or households have the same marginal propensity to
consume, meaning that they spend a consistent proportion of their additional
income.
Time
Frame: The multiplier effect is typically analyzed in the
short run, assuming that changes in spending have immediate effects on income
and output. Long-term adjustments, such as changes in expectations, price
levels, or structural factors, are not considered in the short-run multiplier
analysis.
It's important to note that these assumptions simplify the
analysis of the multiplier effect and help in understanding its basic
mechanisms. In reality, the economy is more complex, and factors such as
changing MPCs, open economies with trade relationships, price adjustments, and
longer-term dynamics can influence the actual effects of changes in spending.
Nevertheless, the multiplier concept and its assumptions provide a useful
framework for analyzing the impact of changes in autonomous spending on the
economy.
SHORT QUESTIONS ANSWER
Q.1.What is meant by full employment
equilibrium Explain it with diagram?
Ans. Full employment equilibrium refers to a situation in
the economy where the level of employment is at its maximum sustainable level,
and there is no involuntary unemployment. It is a state where all available
labor resources are being utilized efficiently, and the economy is operating at
its potential output level.
In full employment equilibrium, the quantity of labor
demanded equals the quantity of labor supplied, ensuring that there is no
excess supply or excess demand in the labor market. It represents a balance
between the demand for labor by firms and the supply of labor by individuals who
are willing and able to work.
Here is a diagrammatic representation of full
employment equilibrium:
Employment Level
^
|
AD AD
| AD
| /
| /
| /
P |/
--------------------------> Real
GDP
In the diagram above, the horizontal axis represents real GDP
or output, and the vertical axis represents the level of employment. The
aggregate demand (AD) curve represents the relationship between the overall
level of spending in the economy and the level of output or income.
At full employment equilibrium, the aggregate demand curve
intersects the aggregate supply curve (not shown in the diagram) at a point
where the economy is producing at its potential output level. This potential
output level represents the maximum sustainable output that can be produced
with the available labor and capital resources in the economy.
The intersection of the aggregate demand and aggregate supply
curves determines the equilibrium level of output and employment in the
economy. At this point, the quantity of labor demanded equals the quantity of
labor supplied, indicating that the labor market is in balance.
In full employment equilibrium, there is no involuntary
unemployment as all individuals who are willing and able to work are employed.
Any increase in aggregate demand beyond this point would result in upward
pressure on wages and prices, leading to inflationary pressures. Similarly, any
decrease in aggregate demand would lead to a decrease in output and employment
below the full employment level.
Achieving and maintaining full employment equilibrium is a
key goal of macroeconomic policy. Policymakers use various fiscal and monetary
tools to manage aggregate demand and stabilize the economy at or near full
employment, ensuring that the labor market operates efficiently and
unemployment remains low.
Q.2. Can an economy be in a state of
under employment equilibrium Explain?
Ans. an economy can be in a state of underemployment
equilibrium. Underemployment equilibrium refers to a situation where the level
of employment in the economy is below the maximum sustainable level, and there
is involuntary unemployment present. It indicates that the economy is not utilizing
its available labor resources to their full potential.
In underemployment equilibrium, the quantity of labor
supplied exceeds the quantity of labor demanded, resulting in a surplus of
labor or involuntary unemployment. This can occur due to various factors such
as a lack of aggregate demand, structural mismatches in the labor market,
technological changes, or other barriers that prevent the efficient utilization
of labor resources.
Here is a diagrammatic representation of underemployment
equilibrium:
Employment Level
^
|
AD AD |
AD
| /
| /
| /
P |/
-------------------------->
Real GDP
In the diagram above, the horizontal axis represents real GDP
or output, and the vertical axis represents the level of employment. The
aggregate demand (AD) curve represents the relationship between the overall
level of spending in the economy and the level of output or income.
In underemployment equilibrium, the aggregate demand curve
intersects the aggregate supply curve (not shown in the diagram) at a point
where the economy is producing below its potential output level. This indicates
that there is a level of involuntary unemployment, as the quantity of labor
demanded is insufficient to absorb the available labor supply.
The existence of underemployment equilibrium implies that
there is a deficiency in aggregate demand relative to the economy's productive
capacity. This could be due to factors such as a decrease in consumer spending,
low business investment, government austerity measures, or external shocks that
reduce overall spending in the economy.
To move from underemployment equilibrium to full employment
equilibrium, policymakers typically focus on stimulating aggregate demand
through various measures. This may involve implementing expansionary fiscal
policies (increased government spending, tax cuts) or expansionary monetary policies
(lower interest rates, increased money supply) to boost spending and encourage
firms to hire more workers.
The goal is to increase aggregate demand to a level that
matches or exceeds the economy's productive capacity, reducing unemployment and
achieving full employment equilibrium. However, transitioning from
underemployment equilibrium to full employment equilibrium may require
addressing underlying structural issues, improving education and skills
training, and promoting investment in sectors with job creation potential.
Q.3. Explain diagrammatically the
situation of over-full employment equilibrium?
Ans. The concept of over-full employment equilibrium is not
commonly discussed in macroeconomics. The traditional understanding is that
full employment represents the maximum sustainable level of employment in an
economy. However, I can provide a conceptual diagram to help illustrate a
hypothetical situation of over-full employment equilibrium:
Employment Level
^
|
AD AD
| AD
| /
| /
| /
P |/
--------------------------> Real
GDP
In the diagram above, the horizontal axis represents real GDP
or output, and the vertical axis represents the level of employment. The
aggregate demand (AD) curve represents the relationship between the overall
level of spending in the economy and the level of output or income.
In a hypothetical scenario of over-full employment
equilibrium, the aggregate demand curve intersects the aggregate supply curve
(not shown in the diagram) at a point where the economy is producing beyond its
potential output level. This implies that the economy is operating above its
maximum sustainable level of employment.
In this situation, the level of employment exceeds the
available labor resources and capacity of the economy. It could arise due to
factors such as excessive government spending, loose monetary policies leading
to excessive credit creation, or supply-side constraints that prevent the
economy from achieving its full potential output.
However, it's important to note that the concept of over-full
employment equilibrium is not widely recognized in mainstream macroeconomics.
The prevailing view is that full employment represents the level of employment
that is both sustainable and desirable in an economy. Operating above full
employment could lead to inflationary pressures as resources become strained
and wages and prices rise.
Economists and policymakers typically focus on maintaining
stable economic conditions around full employment rather than aiming for a
hypothetical state of over-full employment equilibrium. Managing inflation,
ensuring adequate investment in productive capacity, and addressing structural
issues are key considerations in maintaining a balanced and sustainable level
of employment and output in the economy.
Q.4. Explain briefly the concept of
involuntary unemployment?
Ans. Involuntary unemployment refers to a situation where
individuals who are willing and able to work are unable to find employment
despite actively seeking job opportunities. It represents a condition where
there is involuntary idleness or unemployment among workers who desire
employment.
Involuntary unemployment occurs when the demand for labor in
the economy is insufficient to absorb the available labor supply. It arises due
to various factors such as changes in aggregate demand, technological
advancements, structural shifts in the economy, or mismatched skills between
job seekers and available positions.
There are two main types of involuntary unemployment:
Cyclical
Unemployment: Cyclical unemployment occurs during economic downturns or
recessions when there is a decrease in aggregate demand. During such periods,
businesses may reduce production, leading to layoffs and a rise in
unemployment. Cyclical unemployment is considered involuntary because it stems
from macroeconomic conditions beyond the control of individual workers.
Structural
Unemployment: Structural unemployment arises from longer-term
changes in the structure of the economy, such as technological advancements,
changes in industry composition, or shifts in consumer preferences. It occurs
when there is a mismatch between the skills and qualifications of workers and
the available job opportunities. Structural unemployment can result in
persistent joblessness and requires labor market adjustments, such as
retraining programs or geographical mobility, to alleviate the problem.
Involuntary unemployment is a concern because it represents a
waste of human resources and can have negative consequences for individuals and
the overall economy. It leads to a loss of potential output and income, reduced
consumer spending, and increased social and economic inequalities.
Policymakers use various tools to address involuntary
unemployment, such as implementing fiscal and monetary policies to stimulate
aggregate demand, promoting job training and education programs to enhance
workers' skills, and implementing labor market reforms to improve job matching
and reduce barriers to employment.
The goal is to achieve full employment, where the level of
unemployment is minimized, and individuals who are willing and able to work can
find suitable employment opportunities. Full employment is seen as a desirable
state for promoting economic growth, stability, and social well-being.
Q.5.What is the difference between
voluntary and involuntary unemployment?
Ans. The difference between voluntary and involuntary
unemployment lies in the underlying reasons and circumstances leading to individuals
being without employment.
Voluntary
Unemployment: Voluntary unemployment refers to a situation where
individuals choose not to work despite being capable and available for
employment. It occurs when individuals make a conscious decision to refrain
from seeking employment or accepting job offers. Voluntary unemployment can
arise due to various reasons, including personal preferences, job search
criteria, wage expectations, or non-economic factors such as pursuing further
education, taking care of family responsibilities, or enjoying leisure time. In
voluntary unemployment, individuals have the option and ability to work but
voluntarily opt not to.
Involuntary
Unemployment: Involuntary unemployment, on the other hand, occurs
when individuals are willing and able to work but are unable to find suitable
employment opportunities. It represents a situation where individuals are
actively seeking employment but cannot secure jobs despite their desire and
availability. Involuntary unemployment is typically caused by factors beyond
the control of individuals, such as economic downturns, lack of job
opportunities, structural shifts in the economy, technological advancements, or
skill mismatches. Involuntary unemployment is seen as an undesirable state as
it represents wasted human resources and can have adverse social and economic
consequences.
It's important to note that the distinction between voluntary
and involuntary unemployment can sometimes be blurry, as individual
circumstances and choices are influenced by a wide range of factors. For
example, an individual may initially be voluntarily unemployed but may later
transition to involuntary unemployment if they become unable to find suitable
employment despite actively seeking it.
Economists and policymakers primarily focus on addressing
involuntary unemployment as it represents a situation where there is a mismatch
between the demand for labor and the available labor supply, leading to
economic inefficiencies and societal challenges. Policies and interventions are
often aimed at reducing involuntary unemployment by stimulating job creation,
improving labor market conditions, providing training and education
opportunities, and addressing structural barriers to employment.
Q.6. How equilibrium level of income
and output is achieved?
Ans. The equilibrium level of income and output is achieved
in an economy when aggregate demand (AD) equals aggregate supply (AS). It
represents a state of balance where there is no tendency for income or output
to change.
In the Keynesian framework, the equilibrium level of income
and output is determined by the interaction of aggregate demand and aggregate
supply. Here's a step-by-step explanation of how equilibrium is achieved:
Aggregate
Demand (AD): Aggregate demand represents the total spending on
goods and services in an economy. It consists of consumption expenditure (C),
investment expenditure (I), government expenditure (G), and net exports (exports
- imports). AD is typically downward sloping, reflecting the inverse
relationship between price levels and the quantity of goods and services
demanded.
Aggregate
Supply (AS): Aggregate supply represents the total output of goods
and services produced in the economy. It consists of the sum of the production
by firms in different sectors. In the short run, AS is often upward sloping,
indicating that firms can increase output in response to increased demand
without significant price adjustments.
Initial
Equilibrium: The initial equilibrium level of income and output
occurs at the intersection of the AD and AS curves. At this point, AD equals
AS, implying that the quantity of goods and services demanded equals the
quantity supplied. There are no imbalances or pressures for changes in income
or output.
Changes
in Aggregate Demand: If there is an increase in
aggregate demand, it shifts the AD curve to the right. This increase can be due
to factors such as increased consumer spending, higher investment, government
stimulus, or higher exports. The new AD curve intersects the AS curve at a
higher level of income and output, leading to an expansion in economic
activity.
Changes
in Aggregate Supply: Similarly, if there is an increase
in aggregate supply, it shifts the AS curve to the right. This increase can be
due to factors such as technological advancements, improvements in
productivity, or favorable supply-side policies. The new AS curve intersects
the AD curve at a higher level of income and output, resulting in increased
production and income.
Achieving
Equilibrium: The process of adjusting aggregate demand and
aggregate supply continues until a new equilibrium is reached. If there is an
imbalance between AD and AS, there will be either a surplus or a shortage in
the market. As prices and wages adjust, the economy moves towards a new
equilibrium where AD equals AS, ensuring that there is no excess supply or
excess demand.
The equilibrium level of income and output is dynamic and can
change over time due to various factors. Changes in consumption, investment,
government policies, international trade, and other economic variables can
shift the AD and AS curves, leading to adjustments in the equilibrium level of
income and output.
The goal of policymakers is to manage the economy in a way
that promotes stable equilibrium, where the level of income and output is
consistent with full employment and price stability. This involves implementing
appropriate fiscal, monetary, and structural policies to maintain a balance
between aggregate demand and aggregate supply.
Q.7. Show equilibrium level of income
and employment with the help of saving and investment?
Ans. To show the equilibrium level of income and employment
with the help of saving and investment, we can use the Keynesian cross diagram.
The Keynesian cross diagram illustrates the relationship between aggregate
income (Y) and aggregate expenditure (AE), which consists of consumption (C)
and investment (I).
In the Keynesian framework, the equilibrium level of income
and employment occurs when aggregate expenditure equals aggregate income. This
equilibrium condition can be represented as follows:
Aggregate Expenditure (AE) = Aggregate Income (Y)
Now let's represent this equilibrium relationship using the
saving (S) and investment (I) components of aggregate expenditure:
AE = C + I
Y = C + S
In equilibrium, AE equals Y, so we can equate the two
equations:
C + I = C + S
Rearranging the equation, we find:
I = S
This equation represents the equilibrium condition for saving
and investment. In a closed economy, investment equals saving, indicating that
the total amount of saving in the economy is equal to the total amount of
investment.
Graphically, we can represent the equilibrium level of income
and employment with the help of saving and investment using the following
diagram:
|
S | Investment (I)
|
|-----------------------
| (Equilibrium)
|-----------------------
|
Y | Income (Y)
|
|
In the diagram above, the vertical axis represents saving
(S), investment (I), and income (Y), while the horizontal axis represents the
quantity of saving, investment, and income.
The equilibrium level of income and employment occurs where
the saving and investment curves intersect. At this point, the level of saving
is equal to the level of investment, indicating that the economy is in a state
of balance. Any imbalance between saving and investment would lead to
adjustments in income and output until equilibrium is achieved.
The equilibrium level of income and employment can change if
there are shifts in the saving or investment curves. For example, an increase
in investment would shift the investment curve upward, resulting in a higher
equilibrium level of income and employment.
Overall, the equilibrium level of income and employment is
determined by the equality between saving and investment, and it is represented
graphically by the intersection of the saving and investment curves.
Q.8.What happens to equilibrium when
saving is more than investment?
Ans. When saving is more than investment in an economy, it
creates a situation of a saving-investment gap or a surplus of saving. This
imbalance between saving and investment can have implications for the
equilibrium level of income and employment.
When saving exceeds investment:
Decreased
Aggregate Demand: The surplus of saving indicates
that households are saving more of their income than businesses are investing.
This leads to a decrease in aggregate demand because saving represents a
leakage from the spending stream. With lower aggregate demand, businesses may
experience reduced sales and, in turn, reduce their production and employment
levels.
Decreased
Income and Employment: The decrease in aggregate demand
and reduced production levels can result in a decline in income and employment.
With lower demand for goods and services, businesses may need to reduce their
workforce, leading to unemployment or underemployment. As a result, the
equilibrium level of income and employment decreases, moving the economy away
from its initial equilibrium position.
Potential
Deflationary Pressures: With the excess saving, there is
less spending in the economy, which can create downward pressure on prices. If
businesses face weak demand for their products, they may lower prices to
stimulate consumption. This potential deflationary pressure can further
exacerbate the decline in income and employment.
To restore equilibrium in the face of excess saving:
Increase
Investment: Increasing investment levels can help bridge the
saving-investment gap. Higher investment can stimulate aggregate demand,
leading to increased production, income, and employment. This can be encouraged
through favorable investment policies, incentives, or measures to boost business
confidence.
Stimulate
Consumption: If investment cannot be immediately increased,
policymakers may focus on stimulating consumption to offset the excess saving.
Measures such as fiscal policies (e.g., tax cuts, increased government
spending) or monetary policies (e.g., lowering interest rates) can encourage
households to spend more, boosting aggregate demand.
Structural
Adjustments: Addressing structural factors that contribute to the
excess saving, such as income inequality or household debt, can help rebalance
saving and investment. Promoting policies that enhance income distribution,
improve access to credit, or support household consumption can help align
saving with investment levels.
By taking appropriate measures to stimulate investment and
consumption, policymakers aim to restore equilibrium by closing the
saving-investment gap and returning the economy to a state of balanced income
and employment.
Q.9. Define investment multiplier how
is it related to MPC?
Ans. The investment multiplier is a concept in
macroeconomics that represents the relationship between an initial change in
investment and the resulting overall change in income or output in an economy.
It illustrates how an increase in investment can have a multiplied effect on
the economy.
The investment multiplier is directly related to the marginal
propensity to consume (MPC), which is the fraction of additional income that
households choose to spend on consumption. The MPC represents the propensity of
households to consume rather than save when they receive additional income.
The formula for the investment multiplier (K) is:
K = 1 / (1 - MPC)
The investment multiplier is derived from the idea that when
there is an increase in investment, it leads to an increase in income for those
who receive payments for producing the capital goods and services related to
that investment. The recipients of this income then spend a portion of it on
consumption, which becomes income for others. This process continues, creating
a chain reaction of spending and income generation throughout the economy.
The MPC plays a crucial role in determining the magnitude of
the investment multiplier. The larger the MPC, the greater the proportion of
additional income that is spent on consumption, resulting in a larger multiplier
effect. Conversely, a smaller MPC implies a lower propensity to consume,
leading to a smaller multiplier effect.
For example, let's say the MPC is 0.8, indicating that
households spend 80% of any additional income they receive. In this case, the investment
multiplier would be:
K = 1 / (1 - 0.8) = 1 / 0.2 = 5
This means that for every unit increase in investment, the
resulting increase in income or output will be five times larger. If, for
instance, there is an initial investment increase of $100 million, the
investment multiplier suggests that it would lead to a total increase in income
or output of $500 million ($100 million multiplied by the multiplier of 5).
The investment multiplier highlights the importance of
investment in stimulating economic activity and generating a multiplied effect
on overall income and output. By understanding the relationship between
investment, MPC, and the multiplier, policymakers can assess the potential
impact of changes in investment on the economy and make informed decisions
regarding fiscal or monetary policies to encourage investment and economic
growth.
Q.10.What is multiplier? How is it
related to MPC?
Ans. The multiplier is a concept in economics that measures
the impact of an initial change in spending on overall economic output or
income. It represents the magnification effect that occurs when an increase (or
decrease) in spending leads to a larger increase (or decrease) in total output
or income.
The multiplier is related to the marginal propensity to
consume (MPC), which is the fraction of additional income that households
choose to spend on consumption. The MPC represents the propensity of households
to consume rather than save when they receive additional income.
The relationship between the multiplier and MPC can be
explained as follows:
The
Multiplier: The multiplier represents the ratio of the change in
output or income to the initial change in spending. It captures the cumulative
effect of spending throughout the economy as income generated from one person's
spending becomes someone else's income, leading to further spending and income
generation.
MPC
and the Multiplier: The MPC plays a crucial role in
determining the magnitude of the multiplier. The larger the MPC, the greater
the proportion of additional income that is spent on consumption, resulting in
a larger multiplier effect. This is because a higher MPC implies that a larger
portion of each round of additional income is spent, which leads to more rounds
of spending and income generation, thus magnifying the initial change in spending.
Mathematically, the multiplier (K) is calculated as the
reciprocal of the marginal propensity to save (MPS) or the fraction of
additional income not spent on consumption:
K = 1 / MPS
Since MPS + MPC = 1, the multiplier can also be
expressed as:
K = 1 / (1 - MPC)
This equation shows the inverse relationship between the
multiplier and the MPC. As the MPC increases, the denominator (1 - MPC)
decreases, resulting in a larger multiplier. Conversely, a smaller MPC leads to
a higher value for (1 - MPC) and a smaller multiplier.
The multiplier concept is important in macroeconomic analysis
and policymaking as it helps determine the impact of changes in autonomous
spending (such as investment, government spending, or exports) on overall
output, income, and employment. By understanding the relationship between the
multiplier and MPC, policymakers can assess the potential amplification effect
of changes in spending and make informed decisions regarding fiscal or monetary
policies to stimulate or stabilize the economy.
Q.11. Show the working of multiplier
using a diagram?
Ans. To understand the working of the multiplier using a
diagram, we can use the Keynesian cross diagram. The Keynesian cross diagram
shows the relationship between aggregate income (Y) and aggregate expenditure
(AE), which consists of consumption (C) and investment (I).
Here's how the multiplier works in the Keynesian cross
diagram:
Initial
Equilibrium: Start with an initial equilibrium position where the
aggregate expenditure (AE) equals aggregate income (Y). This equilibrium occurs
at the intersection of the AE and 45-degree line, which represents the equality
between spending and income.
|
AE |
45-degree line
|
|----------------------
| (Equilibrium)
|----------------------
|
Y |
Income (Y)
|
|
Increase
in Autonomous Expenditure: Assume there is an increase in
autonomous expenditure, such as an increase in investment or government
spending. This increase is represented by shifting the AE curve upward.
|
AE' |
AE
| |
| |
| |
|-----------------------
| (Equilibrium)
|-----------------------
|
Y |
Income (Y)
|
|
Change
in Aggregate Expenditure: The increase in autonomous
expenditure leads to an increase in aggregate expenditure (AE). As a result,
the aggregate expenditure curve shifts upward, crossing the 45-degree line at a
higher level of income.
Income
Multiplier Effect: The multiplier effect comes into
play as the increase in aggregate expenditure leads to an increase in income.
With higher income, households have more disposable income, and they increase
their consumption spending. This increase in consumption creates additional
demand, leading to further increases in income. The process continues in a
chain reaction, with each round of increased income generating additional
rounds of spending and income generation.
New
Equilibrium: The multiplier effect continues until the economy
reaches a new equilibrium. The new equilibrium occurs when the increase in
income matches the initial increase in aggregate expenditure. At this point,
the AE curve intersects the 45-degree line once again, indicating the equality
between spending and income.
The diagram demonstrates how the initial increase in
autonomous expenditure generates a larger increase in income due to the
multiplier effect. The magnitude of the multiplier depends on the marginal
propensity to consume (MPC). A higher MPC leads to a larger multiplier,
indicating a greater amplification of the initial change in spending on income.
The multiplier effect shows the importance of aggregate
demand and the interdependence of various sectors in the economy. It highlights
how changes in one sector's spending can have broader effects on income,
output, and employment throughout the economy.
Q.12. Show that he size of multiplier
varies with the size of MPC?
Ans. To demonstrate that the size of the multiplier varies
with the size of the marginal propensity to consume (MPC), we can examine the
relationship between the two variables using a formula and numerical examples.
The formula for the multiplier (K) is:
K = 1 / (1 - MPC)
This formula shows that the multiplier is inversely related
to the MPC. As the MPC increases, the denominator (1 - MPC) decreases,
resulting in a larger multiplier. Conversely, a smaller MPC leads to a higher
value for (1 - MPC) and a smaller multiplier.
Let's consider two scenarios:
Scenario
1: High MPC
Suppose the MPC is 0.8, indicating that households spend 80%
of any additional income they receive. We can calculate the multiplier as
follows:
K = 1 / (1 - 0.8) = 1 / 0.2 = 5
In this case, the multiplier is 5, which means that an
initial change in spending will result in a fivefold increase in income.
Scenario
2: Low MPC
Now, let's assume a lower MPC of 0.5, meaning households
spend 50% of any additional income. We can calculate the multiplier:
K = 1 / (1 - 0.5) = 1 / 0.5 = 2
Here, the multiplier is 2, indicating that the initial change
in spending will lead to a twofold increase in income.
These examples illustrate the relationship between the size
of the MPC and the size of the multiplier. A higher MPC implies a larger
proportion of additional income being spent, resulting in a larger multiplier
and a greater amplification effect on income. Conversely, a lower MPC leads to
a smaller multiplier and a smaller impact on income.
The multiplier-MPC relationship is intuitive. When households
have a higher propensity to consume, a larger portion of additional income is
spent, which circulates through the economy, creating more rounds of spending
and income generation. This results in a larger multiplier effect. On the other
hand, when the MPC is lower, households save a larger proportion of additional
income, leading to a smaller multiplier effect.
Therefore, the size of the multiplier varies directly with
the size of the MPC: a higher MPC leads to a larger multiplier, while a lower
MPC corresponds to a smaller multiplier.
Q.13.How would you show working of
multiplier with the help of saving and investment?
Ans. To demonstrate the working of the multiplier with the
help of saving and investment, we can use a simplified example and show how an
initial change in investment can lead to a multiplied effect on income and
output through the multiplier process.
Let's assume an economy where the marginal propensity to
consume (MPC) is 0.8, implying that households spend 80% of any additional
income they receive.
Initial
Investment: Suppose there is an initial increase in investment by
$100 million. This increase in investment represents an injection into the
economy.
Increase
in Income: The initial increase in investment leads to an
increase in income for the recipients of that investment. Let's assume that
households, on average, spend 80% of their additional income and save 20%.
Consumption
Spending: Out of the increased income, households spend 80% on
consumption and save the remaining 20%. Therefore, out of the $100 million
increase in income, $80 million is spent on consumption.
Second
Round of Spending: The $80 million spent on
consumption becomes income for other individuals or businesses in the economy.
Following the MPC of 0.8, they, in turn, spend 80% of this income on
consumption, which amounts to $64 million.
Further
Rounds of Spending: The process continues with each
round of spending generating additional income and subsequent rounds of
consumption. The table below illustrates the successive rounds of spending and
income generation:
Round Increase in Income Consumption Spending
1 $100 million $80
million
2 $80 million $64
million
3 $64 million $51.2
million
4 $51.2 million $40.96
million
5 $40.96 million $32.768
million
... … …
Summing
up the Rounds: The successive rounds of spending and income
generation continue until the multiplier process converges. The total increase
in income can be calculated by summing up the income increases from each round.
In this example, the total increase in income can be approximated by the
formula:
Total increase in income = Initial investment * (1 + MPC +
MPC^2 + MPC^3 + ...)
Using the MPC of 0.8, the total increase in income
would be:
$100 million * (1 + 0.8 + 0.8^2 + 0.8^3 + ...) = $100 million
* (1 + 0.8 + 0.64 + 0.512 + ...) = $100 million * 5 = $500 million
Therefore, the initial increase in investment of $100 million
leads to a total increase in income and output of $500 million through the
multiplier effect.
This example demonstrates how an initial change in investment
can have a multiplied effect on income and output through the multiplier
process. The successive rounds of spending and income generation, driven by the
MPC, create a chain reaction that amplifies the initial injection into the
economy.
Q.14.What is investment multiplier what
can be its maximum and minimum value?
Ans. The investment multiplier, also known as the
expenditure multiplier or income multiplier, measures the impact of an initial
change in investment on overall income or output in an economy. It represents
the magnification effect that occurs when an increase in investment leads to a
larger increase in total income through the multiplier process.
The investment multiplier is determined by the marginal
propensity to consume (MPC), which is the fraction of additional income that
households choose to spend on consumption. The formula for the investment
multiplier (K) is:
K = 1 / (1 - MPC)
The investment multiplier can have a maximum value and a minimum
value based on the MPC.
Maximum
Value: The maximum value of the investment multiplier occurs
when the MPC is equal to 0, meaning households save the entirety of any
additional income. In this case, the denominator (1 - MPC) becomes 1, and the
multiplier becomes infinite (K = 1 / (1 - 0) = 1 / 1 = ∞). However, it is
important to note that this theoretical maximum value is not practically
achievable in a real-world economy because households typically spend at least
some portion of their income.
Minimum
Value: The minimum value of the investment multiplier occurs
when the MPC is equal to 1, indicating that households spend all of their additional
income and save nothing. In this scenario, the denominator (1 - MPC) becomes 0,
and the multiplier becomes 1 divided by 0, which is undefined.
In practical terms, the MPC is typically between 0 and 1 but
less than 1, representing a portion of additional income that is spent on
consumption and the remainder saved. Therefore, the investment multiplier will
generally have a finite value between its maximum and minimum values.
For example, if the MPC is 0.8, the investment
multiplier would be:
K = 1 / (1 - 0.8) = 1 / 0.2 = 5
In this case, the multiplier is 5, indicating that an initial
change in investment will result in a fivefold increase in income or output
through the multiplier effect.
Overall, the maximum value of the investment multiplier is theoretically
infinite when the MPC is 0, and the minimum value is undefined when the MPC is
1. However, in practical terms, the investment multiplier will have a finite
value depending on the MPC, reflecting the relationship between changes in
investment and changes in income or output.
Q.15.How would you explain the concept
of multiplier with the help of a numerical example?
Ans. To explain the concept of the multiplier with a
numerical example, let's consider a hypothetical economy with the following
assumptions:
Marginal
Propensity to Consume (MPC): 0.75
This means that households spend 75% of any additional income
they receive and save the remaining 25%.
Initial
Change in Investment: $100 million
Suppose there is an initial increase in investment by $100 million.
Government Spending and Net Exports: For simplicity, let's
assume government spending and net exports are constant and do not change
during this analysis.
Now, let's calculate the multiplier effect and observe the
increase in income resulting from the initial change in investment:
Initial Change in Investment: $100 million
Change
in Income: To calculate the change in income, we multiply the
initial change in investment by the multiplier. The multiplier is determined by
the MPC, which is 0.75 in our example.
Multiplier (K) = 1 / (1 - MPC) = 1 / (1 - 0.75) = 1 / 0.25 =
4
Change in Income = Initial Change in Investment * Multiplier
= $100 million * 4
= $400 million
Therefore, the initial change in investment of $100 million
leads to a total increase in income of $400 million. This means that the
multiplier effect has amplified the initial investment, resulting in a fourfold
increase in income.
To understand the multiplier effect, we can break down
the increase in income as follows:
The initial change in investment of $100 million leads to an
increase in income by the same amount.
With the MPC of 0.75, households spend 75% of the additional
$100 million income, which is $75 million. This spending becomes income for
other individuals or businesses in the economy.
The process continues as the $75 million becomes income for
others, who then spend 75% of it, which is $56.25 million.
This chain reaction of spending and income generation
continues, with each round leading to a decrease in the amount spent due to the
MPC.
The cumulative effect of these rounds of spending results in
a total increase in income of $400 million.
In summary, the multiplier concept shows how an initial
change in investment can have a multiplied effect on income and output through
successive rounds of spending and income generation. The size of the multiplier
depends on the MPC, which determines the portion of additional income that is
spent. A higher MPC leads to a larger multiplier, indicating a greater
amplification of the initial change in investment on income.
Q.16. Show that multiplier works both
ways Give examples?
Ans. The multiplier works in both directions, meaning it
has an effect not only when there is an initial increase in investment or
spending but also when there is a decrease in investment or spending. This is
often referred to as the multiplier effect or the multiplier process. Let's
look at examples of how the multiplier works in both scenarios.
Initial Increase in Investment:
When there is an initial increase in investment, the
multiplier effect works to amplify the impact on income and output. Here's an
example:
Suppose there is an initial increase in investment of $100
million in a given economy. Let's assume the MPC is 0.8, indicating that
households spend 80% of any additional income they receive.
The initial increase in investment of $100 million leads to
an increase in income by the same amount.
Following the MPC, households spend 80% of the additional
income, which is $80 million.
This $80 million becomes income for other individuals or
businesses in the economy, who then spend 80% of it, which amounts to $64
million.
The process continues, with each round of spending and income
generation creating further rounds of spending.
The cumulative effect of these rounds of spending and income
generation leads to a multiplied increase in income, which is determined by the
multiplier.
Decrease in Investment:
Similarly, when there is a decrease in investment or
spending, the multiplier effect works in the opposite direction, resulting in a
multiplied decrease in income and output. Here's an example:
Let's consider an economy with an initial decrease in
investment of $100 million. The MPC remains the same at 0.8.
The initial decrease in investment leads to a decrease in
income by the same amount.
Following the MPC, households reduce their spending by 80% of
the decrease in income, which is $80 million.
This reduction in spending becomes a decrease in income for
other individuals or businesses, who then reduce their spending by 80% of it,
which amounts to $64 million.
The process continues, with each round of reduced spending
and income generation creating further rounds of reductions.
The cumulative effect of these rounds of reduced spending and
income generation leads to a multiplied decrease in income, which is determined
by the multiplier.
In both scenarios, the multiplier works to amplify the
initial change in investment or spending, either in the form of an increase or
a decrease, through successive rounds of spending and income generation. It
highlights the interconnectedness and feedback loops within an economy, where
changes in one area have ripple effects on other sectors, resulting in a
multiplied impact on income and output.
Q.17. Explain the relation between
multiplies and MPC?
Ans. The relationship between the multiplier and the
marginal propensity to consume (MPC) is fundamental in understanding the
multiplier effect. The multiplier is directly related to the MPC, and the size
of the MPC determines the magnitude of the multiplier.
The multiplier represents the magnification effect of an
initial change in spending or investment on overall income or output in an
economy. It shows how a change in one component of aggregate demand can lead to
a multiplied change in total income.
The formula for the multiplier (K) is:
K = 1 / (1 - MPC)
Here's the relation between the multiplier and the
MPC:
Higher MPC, Larger Multiplier:
When the MPC is higher, meaning households spend a larger
proportion of any additional income they receive, the multiplier is larger.
This is because a higher MPC implies a larger proportion of each additional
dollar earned will be spent, leading to a greater ripple effect on overall
spending and income.
For example, if the MPC is 0.8, the multiplier would be:
K = 1 / (1 - 0.8) = 1 / 0.2 = 5
In this case, the multiplier is 5, indicating that an initial
change in spending or investment will result in a fivefold increase in income
through the multiplier effect.
Lower MPC, Smaller Multiplier:
Conversely, when the MPC is lower, meaning households save a
larger proportion of any additional income they receive, the multiplier is
smaller. This is because a lower MPC implies a smaller proportion of each
additional dollar earned will be spent, resulting in a smaller multiplier
effect.
For example, if the MPC is 0.5, the multiplier would be:
K = 1 / (1 - 0.5) = 1 / 0.5 = 2
In this case, the multiplier is 2, indicating that an initial
change in spending or investment will result in a twofold increase in income
through the multiplier effect.
In summary, the multiplier and the MPC are inversely related.
A higher MPC leads to a larger multiplier, meaning a greater amplification of
the initial change in spending or investment on income and output. Conversely,
a lower MPC results in a smaller multiplier, indicating a smaller magnification
effect. Therefore, the MPC plays a crucial role in determining the size and
strength of the multiplier effect in an economy.
LONG QUESTIONS ANSWER
Q.1. Explain determination of
equilibrium level of income and employment using saving and investment
approach?
Ans. The determination of the equilibrium level of income
and employment can be explained using the saving and investment approach, which
focuses on the interaction between saving and investment in an economy. In this
approach, equilibrium is achieved when saving equals investment.
Saving: Saving
represents the portion of income that households, businesses, and the
government choose to save rather than spend. It includes both private saving
(household and business saving) and public saving (government saving or budget
surplus).
Investment: Investment
refers to the spending by businesses on capital goods, such as machinery,
equipment, and infrastructure, to increase production capacity and expand their
operations.
In equilibrium, saving (S) is equal to investment (I).
This equilibrium condition can be expressed as:
S = I
When saving is greater than investment (S > I), it implies
that households, businesses, and the government are saving more than they are
investing. This can lead to a decrease in aggregate demand, resulting in a
decrease in income and employment in the economy. In response to this,
businesses may reduce their production levels, leading to lower employment and
income.
On the other hand, when investment is greater than saving (I
> S), it means that businesses are investing more than households,
businesses, and the government are saving. This results in an increase in
aggregate demand, leading to an increase in income and employment. As businesses
expand their operations, they hire more workers, increasing employment and
income levels.
The equilibrium level of income and employment is achieved
when saving equals investment (S = I). At this point, aggregate demand matches
aggregate supply, and there are no imbalances in the economy. The equilibrium
level of income and employment can be represented graphically as the
intersection point of the saving and investment curves.
It's important to note that the determination of equilibrium
income and employment is a dynamic process, influenced by various factors such
as changes in consumption, investment, government spending, and net exports.
Changes in any of these components can shift the saving or investment curves,
leading to a new equilibrium level of income and employment in the economy.
Q.2. Explain the equilibrium level of
income with the help of saving and investment curves. If the saving exceeds
planned investment what changes will bring about the equality between them?
Ans. The equilibrium level of income can be explained using
the saving and investment curves, which illustrate the relationship between
saving and investment at different levels of income in an economy.
The saving curve represents the relationship between saving
(S) and the level of income (Y). It shows how saving changes as income changes,
assuming that other factors remain constant. The saving curve typically slopes
upward, indicating that as income increases, saving also increases.
The investment curve represents the relationship between
investment (I) and the level of income (Y). It shows how investment changes as
income changes, assuming that other factors remain constant. The investment
curve can be influenced by factors such as interest rates, business
expectations, and government policies. The investment curve typically slopes
downward, indicating that as income increases, investment may decrease due to
diminishing investment opportunities.
Equilibrium occurs when saving equals investment (S = I).
This is the point at which the economy is in balance, and there are no
imbalances between saving and investment. The equilibrium level of income is
determined by the intersection of the saving and investment curves.
If saving exceeds planned investment (S > I), it indicates
a situation of excess saving or a deficiency in aggregate demand. This can lead
to a situation of low economic activity, decreased production, and potentially
a decrease in income and employment.
To bring about equality between saving and investment,
adjustments need to be made to restore equilibrium. Here are some changes that
can be made to achieve equality:
Increase Investment: If saving exceeds investment, one way to
restore equilibrium is to increase investment. This can be done by encouraging
businesses to invest more through incentives, such as tax breaks, lower
interest rates, or government spending on infrastructure projects.
Increase
Consumption: Another way to restore equilibrium is to stimulate
consumption. Increased consumption leads to higher aggregate demand, which can
encourage businesses to invest more to meet the increased demand. Policies that
promote consumer spending, such as tax cuts or income redistribution, can help
boost consumption.
Decrease
Saving: If saving is persistently high and exceeds investment,
reducing saving can help restore equilibrium. This can be achieved by
encouraging households to spend more or reducing government surpluses through increased
spending or tax cuts.
Monetary
and Fiscal Policy Interventions: Governments
can use monetary and fiscal policy tools to influence saving and investment.
For example, the central bank can lower interest rates to encourage borrowing
and investment, while the government can adjust tax rates, spending levels, and
income transfers to affect saving and consumption patterns.
By implementing appropriate policy measures and adjustments
to saving and investment, the economy can move towards equilibrium, where
saving matches planned investment, leading to stable income and employment
levels.
Q.3. Show that aggregate demand and
aggregate supply can be in equilibrium at less than full employment level?
Ans. Aggregate demand (AD) and aggregate supply (AS) can
indeed be in equilibrium at a level of output and employment that is less than
full employment. This situation is referred to as an "underemployment
equilibrium" or a "recessionary gap." It occurs when the economy
is not utilizing its resources and factors of production to their full
potential.
In an underemployment equilibrium, aggregate demand falls
short of the level required to achieve full employment. This can happen due to
various factors, such as a decrease in consumer spending, a decline in
investment, or a decrease in government spending.
To illustrate this concept, we can examine a diagram showing
the AD and AS curves. The horizontal axis represents the level of real GDP or
output, while the vertical axis represents the overall price level.
In an underemployment equilibrium, the aggregate demand curve
(AD) intersects the aggregate supply curve (AS) at a level of output that is
below the economy's potential full employment level. The AS curve typically has
a positive slope, indicating that as output increases, so does the overall
price level.
At the underemployment equilibrium, the level of aggregate
demand falls short of the level of aggregate supply, resulting in an output
gap. This gap represents the difference between the actual level of output and
the potential level of output that could be achieved at full employment.
In this situation, there is a deficiency in aggregate demand
relative to the economy's productive capacity. As a result, firms operate below
their full capacity, leading to reduced employment levels and potentially
higher rates of unemployment.
To close the underemployment gap and reach full employment,
measures need to be taken to stimulate aggregate demand. This can be achieved
through expansionary fiscal or monetary policies, such as increasing government
spending, reducing taxes, or lowering interest rates. These policies aim to
boost consumer spending, business investment, and overall aggregate demand,
thereby closing the output gap and moving the economy towards full employment.
It's important to note that the presence of an
underemployment equilibrium indicates an inefficient use of resources and
represents an economic downturn. Policy interventions are necessary to address
the imbalance between aggregate demand and aggregate supply and promote economic
growth and employment.
Q.4. Explain the concept of equilibrium
level of income with the help of C+ I curve can there be unemployment at
equilibrium level of income Explain?
Ans. The concept of the equilibrium level of income can be
explained using the C+I (consumption plus investment) curve, which shows the
relationship between aggregate expenditure (C+I) and the level of income in an
economy.
The C+I curve represents the total spending (aggregate
expenditure) in the economy at different levels of income. It is derived by
summing up consumption (C) and investment (I) expenditures.
In equilibrium, the level of income is such that aggregate
expenditure (C+I) is equal to the total output or income generated in the
economy. This is represented by the intersection point of the C+I curve and the
45-degree line, which represents the level of income.
At the equilibrium level of income, there is no inherent
unemployment in the sense of involuntary unemployment. In other words, all
available resources and factors of production are fully utilized, and there is
no involuntary unemployment of labor or other productive resources.
However, it's important to distinguish between two types of
unemployment: voluntary and frictional unemployment. These types of
unemployment can still exist even at the equilibrium level of income.
Voluntary
Unemployment: Voluntary unemployment occurs when individuals choose
not to work at the prevailing wage rate. This can be due to personal
preferences, skill mismatches, or factors such as labor market rigidities.
Voluntary unemployment is a result of individual choices rather than a lack of
job opportunities in the economy. In this case, individuals are unemployed by
choice and are not seeking employment at the current wage rate.
Frictional
Unemployment: Frictional unemployment arises due to the time it
takes for individuals to transition between jobs or for job seekers to find
suitable employment. It is a temporary and short-term form of unemployment that
occurs even in a functioning labor market. Frictional unemployment can exist at
the equilibrium level of income as individuals search for better job
opportunities or undergo training to improve their skills.
Therefore, while involuntary unemployment is not present at
the equilibrium level of income, voluntary and frictional unemployment may
still exist due to individual choices, job transitions, or search processes.
Achieving full employment, where all individuals who are willing and able to
work are employed, requires addressing structural and institutional factors
that may contribute to voluntary and frictional unemployment.
Q.5. Why aggregate demand must be equal
to aggregate supply at the equilibrium level of income and output Explain with
the help of diagram?
Ans. Aggregate demand (AD) must be equal to aggregate
supply (AS) at the equilibrium level of income and output to maintain a state
of balance in the economy. This equality ensures that the total spending in the
economy matches the total production of goods and services.
To explain this concept with the help of a diagram, we can
use a basic AD-AS model. The horizontal axis represents the level of real GDP
or output, while the vertical axis represents the overall price level.
Aggregate
Demand (AD) Curve: The AD curve shows the relationship
between the overall price level and the level of aggregate demand in the
economy. It slopes downward because, in general, as the price level decreases,
consumers and businesses tend to spend more due to increased purchasing power.
The AD curve represents the total spending in the economy, which includes
consumption, investment, government spending, and net exports.
Aggregate
Supply (AS) Curve: The AS curve represents the
relationship between the overall price level and the level of aggregate supply
in the economy. It typically has an upward slope in the short run, indicating that
as the price level increases, businesses are willing to produce and supply more
output to meet the increased demand. The AS curve represents the total
production capacity of goods and services in the economy.
In the diagram, the equilibrium level of income and output
occurs at the point where the AD and AS curves intersect. At this intersection,
aggregate demand is equal to aggregate supply. Let's analyze the implications
of this equilibrium condition:
If
aggregate demand exceeds aggregate supply (AD > AS): In this
case, there is excess demand in the economy. It indicates that the total
spending in the economy is higher than the current level of production. As a
result, firms may increase their output and employment levels to meet the
increased demand, leading to an expansion of the economy.
If
aggregate supply exceeds aggregate demand (AD < AS): In this
case, there is excess supply in the economy. It means that the total spending
in the economy is lower than the current level of production. As a result,
firms may reduce their output and employment levels to align with the lower
demand, leading to a contraction of the economy.
Only when aggregate demand is equal to aggregate supply (AD =
AS), the economy is in equilibrium. At this point, there are no imbalances in
the economy, and the level of total spending matches the level of total
production. It represents a state where the economy is producing at its
potential output level, and there is no inherent pressure for further expansion
or contraction.
Maintaining the equilibrium between aggregate demand and
aggregate supply is essential for ensuring macroeconomic stability and avoiding
situations of inflation or recession. Policy interventions, such as fiscal and
monetary measures, are often employed to manage aggregate demand and maintain
equilibrium in the economy.
Q.6.What changes will take place to
bring an economy in equilibrium if:
(a) Planned savings are greater than
planned investment.
(b) Planned savings are less than
planned investment.
Ans. (a) If planned savings are greater than planned
investment, it indicates an imbalance between saving and investment in the
economy. To bring the economy back into equilibrium, adjustments need to be
made to match saving with investment. Here are the changes that could take
place:
Decrease
in Savings: If planned savings exceed planned investment,
individuals or households may decrease their savings and allocate more funds
towards consumption or other expenditures. This increase in consumption
spending will boost aggregate demand, which can lead to an increase in
investment as businesses respond to the higher demand.
Increase
in Investment: Alternatively, to bring savings in line with
investment, there could be an increase in planned investment. This can occur
through measures such as government policies that promote investment, such as
tax incentives, subsidies, or infrastructure projects. The increase in
investment will lead to higher levels of spending and help align saving and
investment at the new equilibrium level.
(b) If planned savings are less than planned investment, it
indicates an excess of investment over saving in the economy. To bring the
economy back into equilibrium, adjustments need to be made to align saving with
investment. Here are the changes that could take place:
Increase
in Savings: If planned savings are less than planned investment,
individuals or households may increase their savings rate. This means they will
allocate a larger portion of their income towards saving rather than
consumption. The increase in saving will reduce aggregate demand, which can
lead to a decrease in investment as businesses respond to the lower demand.
Decrease
in Investment: Alternatively, to align saving with investment, there
could be a decrease in planned investment. This can occur due to factors such
as a decline in business confidence, reduced access to credit, or changes in
government policies. The decrease in investment will help reduce the imbalance
between saving and investment and bring the economy back to equilibrium.
In both cases, the adjustments aim to restore the balance
between planned saving and planned investment, ensuring that the economy
operates at the equilibrium level of income and output. By aligning saving and
investment, the economy can achieve stability and avoid imbalances that can
lead to economic fluctuations.
Q.7. Explain the meaning of equilibrium
level of employment by saving and investment approach if planned expenditure is
less than planned output what changes will take place in the economy?
Ans. The equilibrium level of employment, as analyzed
through the saving and investment approach, refers to the level of employment
where planned expenditure (aggregate demand) is equal to planned output
(aggregate supply). It represents a state of balance in the economy where there
is no inherent pressure for further changes in employment.
If planned expenditure is less than planned output, it
implies that there is an imbalance between the desired level of spending and
the level of production in the economy. This situation indicates that the
economy is producing more goods and services than what is being demanded by
households, businesses, and the government. To restore equilibrium, adjustments
need to be made to align planned expenditure with planned output. Here are the
potential changes that can take place in the economy:
Inventory
Accumulation: When planned expenditure falls short of planned
output, businesses may find themselves with excess inventory or unsold goods.
To address this, they may reduce production levels to avoid further
accumulation of inventories. This decrease in production could lead to lower
levels of employment as firms reduce their workforce.
Decreased
Investment: In the saving and investment approach, investment is
one component of planned expenditure. If planned expenditure is less than
planned output, it suggests that investment is insufficient to support the
current level of production. In response, businesses may scale back their
investment plans, leading to reduced capital expenditure and potentially lower
levels of employment, particularly in industries directly impacted by the
decrease in investment.
Decreased
Hiring and Increased Unemployment: With the
decrease in production and investment, firms may also reduce their hiring
activities. This can lead to increased unemployment as businesses adjust their
workforce to match the lower level of demand for their products and services.
Workers may find it more difficult to secure employment opportunities,
resulting in a rise in overall unemployment levels.
Potential
Macroeconomic Impact: The decrease in planned expenditure
relative to planned output can have broader macroeconomic implications. It may
lead to a decline in overall economic activity, lower income levels for
households and businesses, and reduced consumption spending. This negative
feedback loop can further impact investment decisions, creating a downward
spiral in the economy.
To restore equilibrium and bring planned expenditure in line
with planned output, policy interventions may be necessary. Expansionary fiscal
or monetary policies can be implemented to stimulate aggregate demand and
encourage investment. These measures could include increasing government
spending, reducing taxes, lowering interest rates, or implementing investment
incentives. By boosting spending and investment, the economy can move towards
equilibrium, supporting higher levels of employment and economic growth.
Q.8.What is meant by investment
multiplier Explain the relationship between investment multiplier and MPC?
Ans. The investment multiplier is a concept in economics
that explains how changes in investment can have a magnified effect on overall
income and output in an economy. It highlights the relationship between an
initial change in investment and the subsequent change in total income.
The investment multiplier indicates that an increase in
investment can lead to a larger increase in total income. It works through the
circular flow of income and spending in an economy, where one person's spending
becomes another person's income, creating a ripple effect throughout the
economy.
The magnitude of the investment multiplier is influenced by
the marginal propensity to consume (MPC). The MPC represents the proportion of
additional income that individuals or households choose to spend rather than
save. The relationship between the investment multiplier and MPC can be
explained as follows:
Marginal
Propensity to Consume (MPC): The MPC
reflects the consumption behavior of households. For example, an MPC of 0.8
means that for every additional unit of income, households tend to spend 80% of
it and save the remaining 20%. The MPC can vary depending on various factors
such as income levels, consumer confidence, and government policies.
Investment
Multiplier: The investment multiplier is calculated as the
reciprocal of the marginal propensity to save (MPS), which is the proportion of
additional income that individuals choose to save rather than spend. The
formula for the investment multiplier is given as:
Investment Multiplier = 1 / (1 - MPC)
The investment multiplier shows the potential effect of an
initial change in investment on the final change in income. It captures the
cumulative impact of the initial injection of investment spending as it ripples
through the economy.
The relationship between the investment multiplier and
MPC can be explained as follows:
a)
High MPC: When the MPC is relatively high, it means that
households tend to spend a larger proportion of their additional income. In
this case, the investment multiplier will be larger because a larger portion of
the initial investment spending will be circulated and respent, leading to a
greater overall increase in income.
b)
Low MPC: Conversely, when the MPC is relatively low, it means
that households tend to save a larger proportion of their additional income. In
this case, the investment multiplier will be smaller because a smaller portion
of the initial investment spending will be respent, resulting in a smaller
overall increase in income.
Therefore, the investment multiplier and MPC have an inverse
relationship. A higher MPC leads to a larger investment multiplier, indicating
a greater impact of investment on overall income. Conversely, a lower MPC
results in a smaller investment multiplier, indicating a lesser impact of
investment on overall income.
It's important to note that the investment multiplier assumes
certain assumptions, such as a closed economy with no leakages (e.g., imports,
taxes, savings sent abroad) and constant marginal propensities to consume and
save. In reality, the multiplier effect may be influenced by other factors and
leakages, which can affect its exact magnitude.
Q.9.What is investment multiplier the
working of investment multiplier with the help of a table and diagram?
Ans. The investment multiplier is a concept in economics
that explains how changes in investment can have a multiplied effect on the
overall income and output in an economy. It illustrates the relationship
between the initial change in investment and the subsequent change in total
income.
To understand the working of the investment
multiplier, let's consider an example with the following assumptions:
Initial
change in investment: $100 million
Marginal
propensity to consume (MPC): 0.8
We can demonstrate the working of the investment multiplier
through a table and a diagram.
Table:
We start with an initial change in investment of $100
million. Based on the MPC of 0.8, we calculate the subsequent rounds of
spending and income generation:
Round
Change in Income Change
in Consumption
0 $100 million -
1 $80 million $64
million
2 $64 million $51.2
million
3 $51.2 million $40.96
million
4 $40.96 million $32.77
million
... ... ...
Total $400 million $320
million
Diagram:
In the diagram, we plot the levels of investment (I) and
income (Y). The initial change in investment of $100 million is represented by
a vertical line from the horizontal axis to the investment level. The
subsequent rounds of spending and income generation are shown through the
upward sloping line, which represents the investment multiplier effect.
| /
I | /
| /
| /
| /
| /
| /
| /
| /
| /
| /
| /
-----------------------------------
Y
Explanation:
Round
0: The initial increase in investment of $100 million
creates an injection of spending into the economy. This injection becomes
income for households, which leads to an increase in consumption.
Round
1: Based on the MPC of 0.8, households consume 80% of the
additional income generated ($80 million). This consumption spending becomes
income for other businesses, creating a further increase in total income.
Subsequent
Rounds: The process continues in subsequent rounds as each
injection of spending becomes income for others, leading to increased
consumption and further increases in total income.
The investment multiplier effect works by multiplying the
initial change in investment through multiple rounds of spending and income
generation. In this example, the total increase in income is $400 million,
which is four times the initial change in investment of $100 million. The
investment multiplier is calculated as 4 ($400 million / $100 million).
It's important to note that the investment multiplier assumes
certain simplifying assumptions and conditions, such as a closed economy and
constant MPC. In reality, the multiplier effect may be influenced by other
factors and leakages, which can affect its exact magnitude.
Q.10. Explain forward and Backward of
investment multiplier with the help of a diagram and give its features?
Ans. The forward and backward working of the investment
multiplier can be explained using a diagram. Let's consider an economy with the
following assumptions:
Initial change in investment: $100 million
Marginal propensity to consume (MPC): 0.8
Forward Working of Investment Multiplier:
Y
^
|
|
| Forward
Working
|
|
|
|_____________________________________
I I + ∆I
In the forward working of the investment multiplier, an
initial change in investment (∆I) leads to an increase in income (Y). The arrow
indicates the direction of the multiplier effect.
Round
0: The initial increase in investment (∆I) creates an
injection of spending into the economy. This injection becomes income for
households, which leads to an increase in consumption. Based on the MPC, a
portion of this income is spent, leading to an increase in aggregate demand.
Round
1: The increase in aggregate demand stimulates businesses
to produce more goods and services. This increase in production requires hiring
more workers and increasing wages, which leads to an increase in income for
households. A portion of this additional income is again spent, further
increasing aggregate demand.
Subsequent
Rounds: The process continues in subsequent rounds, with each
increase in aggregate demand leading to increased production, income, and
consumption. The multiplier effect causes the initial change in investment to
have a multiplied effect on income. The process continues until the multiplier
effect exhausts itself, typically when all additional income is saved rather
than spent.
Backward Working of Investment Multiplier:
Y
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| Backward
Working
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I - ∆I I
In the backward working of the investment multiplier, a
decrease in investment (∆I) leads to a decrease in income (Y). The arrow
indicates the direction of the multiplier effect.
Round
0: A decrease in investment (∆I) reduces aggregate demand
in the economy. This decrease in demand leads to a decrease in production and
employment, resulting in lower income for households. With lower income,
households reduce their consumption expenditure, further decreasing aggregate
demand.
Round
1: The decrease in aggregate demand prompts businesses to
scale back production and employment even further, leading to a subsequent
decrease in income. This decrease in income reduces household consumption,
creating a negative multiplier effect.
Subsequent
Rounds: The process continues in subsequent rounds, with each
decrease in aggregate demand leading to a further decrease in income. The
backward working of the investment multiplier amplifies the initial decrease in
investment, causing a larger decline in income.
Features of the Investment Multiplier:
Amplification
Effect: The investment multiplier amplifies the initial change
in investment, leading to a multiplied effect on income. It shows how changes
in investment can have a more significant impact on the overall economy.
Cumulative
Impact: The investment multiplier works through multiple
rounds of spending and income generation. The initial injection of investment
spending sets off a chain reaction, where each increase in income leads to
additional spending and further income generation.
Dependent
on MPC: The size of the multiplier is influenced by the
marginal propensity to consume (MPC). A higher MPC leads to a larger
multiplier, indicating a greater impact of investment on overall income.
Limitations:
The investment multiplier assumes certain simplifying assumptions and
conditions, such as a closed economy and constant MPC. In reality, leakages,
taxes, imports, and other factors can affect the exact magnitude of the
multiplier and its working.
Overall, the investment multiplier demonstrates the interplay
between investment, income, and aggregate demand in an economy, highlighting
the potential for
Q.11.What is meant by investment
multiplier Discuss the process of multiplier?
Ans. The investment multiplier, also known as the
expenditure multiplier or income multiplier, is a concept in economics that
explains how changes in investment can have a multiplied effect on the overall
income and output in an economy. It illustrates the relationship between the
initial change in investment and the subsequent change in total income.
The process of the multiplier can be explained as
follows:
Initial
Change in Investment: The multiplier process begins with
an initial change in investment. This can be an increase or decrease in
investment spending by firms in the economy.
Increase
in Aggregate Demand: The initial change in investment
creates an injection of spending into the economy. This increase in investment
spending stimulates aggregate demand, as firms increase their production to
meet the higher demand for goods and services.
Increased
Production and Income: The increase in aggregate demand
leads to increased production and output in the economy. As firms produce more
goods and services, they require additional inputs, such as labor and raw
materials. This, in turn, leads to increased income for households who provide
these inputs.
Increased
Household Income and Consumption: With higher
income, households have more disposable income available for consumption. They
tend to spend a portion of this additional income on goods and services, which
further increases aggregate demand.
Ripple
Effect: The initial increase in investment spending sets off a
chain reaction through the economy. The increase in income leads to increased
consumption, which increases demand further, stimulating more production,
income, and consumption. This ripple effect continues in subsequent rounds,
causing a multiplied effect on income and output.
Marginal
Propensity to Consume (MPC): The size of
the multiplier is influenced by the marginal propensity to consume (MPC). The
MPC represents the proportion of additional income that households choose to
spend rather than save. A higher MPC means that households spend a larger
portion of their additional income, leading to a larger multiplier effect.
Exhaustion
of Multiplier: The multiplier process continues until all the
additional income is either consumed or saved. If households save a significant
portion of their additional income, the multiplier effect diminishes over time
as the respending of income decreases.
The investment multiplier illustrates how changes in
investment can have a significant impact on an economy's income and output. It
emphasizes the interdependence between different sectors of the economy, as the
initial change in investment creates a chain reaction of spending and income
generation. The multiplier effect highlights the potential for amplification or
contraction of economic activity based on changes in investment spending.